Q3B activity at 1.9x baseline keeps the hourly window elevated but unconfirmed
One hour of above-normal on-chain attention does not yet meet the persistence standard for a regime-change call.
The current window recorded 29 transfers and $605.5K in volume, which is 1.9x Q3B's own baseline. That is a clear deviation from the asset's typical pace, yet the threshold check lands below the on-fire mark.
Elevated activity is present; what is missing is a second consecutive hourly window to separate a transient pulse from a sustained shift.